India’s food services market set to nearly double to ₹9 trillion by 2030: report

by Ismail Hodge
India's food services market set to nearly double to ₹9 trillion by 2030: report

Mumbai: Indian’s love for eating out and ordering in is anticipated to develop to epic proportions within the coming years.

In line with a report launched by meals aggregator Swiggy and Bain & Firm on Wednesday, the marketplace for consuming out and ordering in is about to almost double by the tip of the last decade to the touch 9 trillion, from the present 5.5 trillion.

The expansion is approaching the again of an increasing buyer base, rising consumption events, and a soar within the variety of new eateries available in the market.


Moreover, on-line meals supply is anticipated to develop at a sooner fee of 18% compound annual development fee (CAGR), contributing 20% to the general meals companies market by 2030, up from the present 8%.

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“Greater incomes, digitization, improved buyer expertise and an inclination to strive new experiences have all contributed to this development. We’re very upbeat concerning the development within the coming years. As an example, China has 4 instances the variety of eating places per million city inhabitants, as in comparison with India,” mentioned Rohit Kapoor, CEO, Meals Market, Swiggy.

To make certain, India’s meals companies market has undergone vital shifts over the previous decade, with the rise of fast-food chains and the entry of on-line meals supply platforms.

Though the frequency of individuals consuming out nonetheless stays low in India at about 5 instances a month, the market is about to develop with an increase in disposable incomes.

A rising menu

In line with the examine, round 70% of the entire meals companies consumption within the nation occurs throughout India’s high 50 cities, and amongst upper-middle and high-income segments. These cities are anticipated to stay demand hotspots even within the medium time period.

Nevertheless, incremental development is anticipated to return from different tier 2 cities and past as effectively.


Moreover, the addressable buyer base for the Indian meals companies market is anticipated to increase by 110 million, rising from the present 320–340 million to roughly 430–450 million by 2030. This surge will probably be supported by macroeconomic tailwinds together with fast urbanization and an increase in affluence.

“Consuming out is a particular occasion for Indian shoppers with a mean of 5 instances monthly, which is anticipated to extend to 7–8 instances by 2030,” the report famous.

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“This gradual shift will level to a transition in the way in which consuming out will probably be perceived, transferring from particular events to a matter of comfort, with new events (e.g., mid-meal dayparts) and larger entry (growth of organized provide, meals supply development). A pattern that mirrors developed markets just like the US and China, the place consuming out is convenience-led and the month-to-month consuming out frequency is 25–30, thus indicating huge headroom to drive new events in India,” it added.

Dessert and low

The report highlights how the marketplace for consuming out has developed over time. On-line aggregators are driving the shift to residence deliveries, whereas fine-dining chains are mushrooming throughout the nation to cater to the calls for of prosperous shoppers.

An attention-grabbing pattern the report highlighted is the variety of instances and number of cuisines clients order in a yr.

Every buyer, on common, orders greater than three cuisines from over six eating places on a web-based platform in a yr, based on the report, suggesting that Indian shoppers search selection of their eating experiences throughout totally different events.

Swiggy’s Kapoor additionally pointed in direction of the massive headroom to develop on the availability aspect, in addition to the considerably decrease restaurant density versus developed markets. “China has 4 instances the variety of eating places per million city inhabitants, as in comparison with India,” mentioned Kapoor.

This indicators a possibility to open extra eating places throughout the nation.

A stroll within the park, after meals

Amid this development, the penetration of on-line meals supply has risen from 8% to 12% between 2019 and 2023, representing a development of two.8 instances in on-line meals supply in comparison with general meals companies. This rise was accelerated by the pandemic.

“Pushed by the upper adoption of digitization in buyer journeys and larger accessibility, on-line meals supply is estimated to develop at roughly 18% year-on-year, reaching 212,000 crore ( 2.12 trillion) over the following seven years. Its market penetration is anticipated to extend from the present 12% to round 20% by 203,” the report added.


Moreover, convenience-led codecs—known as fast service eating places (QSR), coupled with cloud kitchens, are anticipated to develop 40% sooner than the general market between 2023 and 2030.

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“The Indian meals companies market stands on the cusp of transformation. The sector’s dynamic nature, characterised by shifting client behaviours, digitization, and regional variety, gives immense development potential. As we glance towards the following decade, with an estimated development fee of 10%–12% yearly, thrilling alternatives loom on each the demand and provide fronts,” mentioned Navneet Chahal, accomplice at Bain & Firm and co-author of the report.

“By 2030, the market is poised to serve a further 110 million clients, progressively shifting consuming out from a particular occasion right into a handy way of life,” he added.

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